Prediction Tools

PREDICTION TOOLS

Here are some applets that give you a sense of the kinds of things that Super Crunching can help predict. Use them at your own risk (The lawyer in me feels compelled to emphasize that I make no representation as to their accuracy). .

Featured In Super Crunchers:

Predict Your Child’s Due Date (Ayres - may require free JAVA download)

Predict the Value of Bordeaux (Ayres - may require free JAVA download)

Predict Justice Kennedy’s Vote (Ayres - may require free JAVA download)

Predict Probability that Candidate is Leading in General Population (Ayres - excel file)

Personal/Family:

Predict the probability of divorce (Betsey Stevenson)

Predict how long your marriage will last (Political Calculations)

Predict How Long You’ll Live (Northwestern Mutual)

Predicting how long you’ll live (Political Calculations)

Predict Your Child’s Due Date (Ayres - may require free JAVA download)

Predict Your Child’s Adult Height (University of Saskatchewan)

Predic your effective rate of return from “investing” in Social Security (Political Calculations)

Predict your future running times (Ray Fair)

Predict your future swimming times (Ray Fair)

Predict Your Future Chess Rating (Ray Fair)

Consumer Applications:

Predict Future Airline Fares (FareCast)

Predict Future Airline Delays (DelayCast)

Predicts the Market Value of Your Home (Zillow)

Predict the Value of Bordeaux (Ayres - may require free JAVA download)

Fun/Sports:

Predict Your Next Move in Rock-Paper-Scissors (Chappie)

Predict (on play-by-play basis) probability that MLB team will win a game in progress (Fangraphs)

Predict MLB Playoff Probabilities (Baseball Prospectus)

Predict NFL game (NFL Picker)

Predict the future population of the U.S. (Political Calculations)

Predict Horse Race Speed (NeuNet Pro)

Predict Abalone Age (NeuNet Pro)

Politics/Government:

Predict Justice Kennedy’s Vote (Ayres - may require free JAVA download)

Predict the Presidential Election (Ray Fair)

Predict Probability that Candidate is Leading in General Population (Ayres - excel file)

Predict Where Your Tax Money Is Spent (Tax Break Down)

Media:

Predicts the Success of a Book Title (Lulu Titlescorer)

Predict Demographics of Who Will Use a Webpage (Microsoft adCenter)

Health:

Predict Your Liklihood of Illness or Disability (Northwestern Mutual)

Predict Cancer Mortality and the Effect of Treatment (Sloan-Kettering)

Predict Risk of Cancer, Diabetes, Heart Disease, Osteoperosis and Stroke (Siteman)

Predict Heart Disease Risk (Eur. Soc. of Cardiology)

Predict Liver Disease Survivability (Mayo Clinic)

Predict Knee Diagnosis (FreeKneeDx)

Stay-at-home length

Money/Business:

Predict Your Lifetime Income (Northwestern Mutual)

Predict How Much You’ll Have to Retire (Nationwide)

Predict Risk of Business Bankruptcy (cellspark.com)

Predict Risk of Business Bankruptcy (creditguru.com)

Predict whether a publicly traded company will file for bankruptcy (Political Calculations)

Macroeconomic:

Predict Future S&P Price (Ray Fair)

Predict World Population (David Levine)

Predict the average wage in the U.S. (Political Calculations)

Predict U.S. median housing prices (Political Calculations)

Predict the rate of return for an I-bond (Political Calculations)

Predict the odds of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months (Political Calculations)

Predict where the poverty threshold will be set in future years (Political Calculations)

Predict GDP three quarters ahead (Political Calculations)